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Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Are you serious?

Only four Charlton players added value to the team last season according to the Fink Tank in The Times in the sense that they added rather than lost points compared with a notional average player. In rank order they were Souleymayne Diawara, Darren Bent, Talal El Karkouri and Hermann Hreidarsson. Only one of them is likely to be with the Addicks next season.

And who was the worst player? Luke Young, followed by Marcus Bent. Then comes Ben Thatcher and Alexandre Song, followed by - wait for it - Scott Carson. But then their stats do show that Paul Robinson is the worst keeper in the Premiership.

Good news for fans of Dennis Rommedahl, Bryan Hughes and Radostin Kishishev who are in an intermediate category. And none of our players feature in the 'five of the worst' category which curiously includes more players from Bolton than any other club.

Personally I blame the 'multivariate Poisson log-normal model.' The Poisson distribution has been around for 180 years or so, but one fears that this is a case of 'garbage in, garbage out' with the data.

1 Comments:

Blogger Kappacino Kid said...

I wonder who now owns up to being a Rommedahl fan

10:59 AM  

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